Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd IPO Note

Source: RHP, 5paisa Research, Note: EPS &P/E is on upper end of price band

Key Points

MDL is one of the few shipyards under the MoD that only makes warships at the moment and is the only shipyard to have built destroyers and conventional submarines for the Indian Navy. MDL is also one of the initial shipyards to have built Corvettes in India. We believe that its strong pedigree in making warships & conventional submarines are likely to provide an upper hand in garnering additional orders like Project P-75I where it has cleared all benchmarks. Indian Maritime security has been garnering significant attention in the past decade and geopolitical tensions with China (growing military presence in the Indian ocean) are likely to result in steady fleet and submarine additions.

MDL’s order book is likely to be executable over 6-7 years which even without considering order inflows provides strong revenue visibility. It has sufficient capacity in place and is exploring additional development which can help cater to any uptick in orders. MDL intends to increase its ship repair revenues from ~3% of overall revenues (FY20) to 15-20% gradually which bodes well from profitability perspective. Increasing retention of cost savings and potential ~50bps increase in margins under revised acquisition procedures are key margin drivers.

Key Risk Factors:

Liberalization of policies for Make in India initiative may open up competition which may result in loss of upcoming awards in favor or private sector or foreign players and may trigger aggressive bidding

Covid or outbreak of any other severe communicable disease could have a potential impact on its business and results of operations.

Conclusion:

Considering the revenue visibility, good dividend yield of ~6% and undemanding valuations, we recommend SUBSCRIBE on the Mazagon Dock IPO issue.