Nifty Outlook - 16 September 2022

Post the sharp recovery from the lows in Wednesday’s session, Nifty started the weekly expiry day above the 18000 mark. However, the index witnessed some selling pressure and it gradually declined throughout the day to end below 17900 with a loss of seven-tenths of a percent.

Nifty Today:

The index recovered smartly from the lows on Wednesday but there was no follow up buying seen in Thursday’s session. If we look at the daily chart, the Nifty seems to be trading within a ‘Rising Wedge’ pattern on the daily chart. The support end of the pattern is placed around 17770 and the ‘20 DEMA’ support is around 17700. So these are the important support levels and if these get breached, then the implication of the breakdown from the above mentioned pattern will be bearish. However, till the index trades above the mentioned support, there’s nothing much to worry about. The momentum readings on the daily charts are still positive but have given a negative crossover on the hourly chart. Thus, we would keep a close watch to see if the readings on the hourly chart give positive crossover first, which would open up more room on the upside. However, if the index breaches the above supports and the daily readings too give a negative crossover then would be time to turn cautious. On the flipside, the immediate resistance for the Nifty is seen around 18100 followed by 18200-18250 range.

17700 seen as make or break level for Nifty

The rising Dollar Index is usually negative for the equities but a relative outperformance by our INR compared to other global currencies have resulted in an outperformance in our equity markets too. Short term traders should keep a close watch on the currency as well as any directional move in the currency could give us an early indication of the short term directional move. 

Nifty & Bank Nifty Levels: